Lucena vs Coria CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
BET
1 - 1
LUC
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
LUC
0 - 0
JER
54%
26%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ARC
4 - 1
LUC
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
LUC
0 - 1
SAN
35%
27%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MAI
3 - 1
LUC
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
COR
2 - 1
PAL
32%
29%
39%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CRD
5 - 1
COR
47%
25%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
COR
1 - 2
BAR
30%
28%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ARC
2 - 0
COR
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
COR
0 - 1
CAD
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |