Lucena vs Coria CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CRD
4 - 0
LUC
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LUC
2 - 1
BAR
39%
29%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
4 - 1
LUC
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 1
JER
45%
28%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
LUC
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
VVA
46%
27%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SCF
2 - 0
COR
24%
28%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
ANT
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
DHE
1 - 1
COR
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
COR
3 - 0
SFE
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |