Lucena vs Coria CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
30.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1999 |
PAL
0 - 1
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
LUC
1 - 0
LAP
54%
27%
20%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
SRQ
1 - 2
LUC
28%
29%
43%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
SAN
47%
28%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
SCF
0 - 4
LUC
16%
25%
59%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1999 |
COR
5 - 1
CDR
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
ARC
1 - 0
COR
24%
31%
44%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
COR
0 - 1
DHE
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
AYA
0 - 0
COR
22%
31%
47%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
COR
1 - 1
CCF
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |