Lucena vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SRO
2 - 0
LUC
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 0
LUC
74%
18%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CRD
7%
17%
76%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ASJ
2 - 0
LUC
67%
21%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
ALC
17%
24%
59%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
ARC
29%
26%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
UTR
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SEV
0 - 0
CON
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
CAS
30%
26%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |