Lucena vs Los Barrios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 2
LUC
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CRD
1 - 2
LUC
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
LUC
2 - 1
BAL
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MON
2 - 3
LUC
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 6
AGU
27%
28%
46%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
REC
0 - 0
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 2
SFE
36%
29%
36%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
DHE
2 - 2
BAR
74%
18%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 1
JER
24%
26%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |