Lucena vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
MON
2 - 0
LUC
67%
21%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
LUC
1 - 1
MAI
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
LUC
2 - 2
ICR
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
BAL
2 - 3
LUC
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
LUC
0 - 1
SFE
27%
27%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
AYA
1 - 0
BAL
36%
29%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
SFE
0 - 1
AYA
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
AYA
1 - 0
CAD
35%
27%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
UDR
0 - 4
AYA
25%
26%
49%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
AFC
0 - 3
AYA
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |