Lucena vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
CAD
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ECI
0 - 2
LUC
51%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 4
ALB
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CPC
1 - 1
LUC
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 2
UCA
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECI
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 1
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
CPC
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UCA
0 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
BET
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |