Lucecor vs Belmezano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
55%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucecor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 0
ADF
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 2
CIU
18%
21%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
LUC
65%
20%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 1
VIL
54%
22%
24%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
LUC
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Belmezano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
REC
2 - 4
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADF
1 - 2
REC
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
REC
2 - 1
CCS
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
REC
1 - 2
COS
51%
23%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 1
REC
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |