Lucan United vs Donnycarney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
LUU
3 - 1
STF
67%
18%
16%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
LUU
47%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 1
LUU
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LUU
2 - 1
KIL
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Donnycarney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KDF
3 - 1
FIR
13%
17%
70%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
KDF
3 - 2
POR
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |