VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
7º
1º
51
1º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
15 | 15 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
LUB
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LUB
2 - 1
WER
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 4
LUB
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
2 - 1
HOL
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOR
0 - 0
LUB
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
STP
1 - 4
WEI
22%
23%
54%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
STP
2 - 0
OTT
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BSV
2 - 1
STP
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ADF
3 - 2
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STP
3 - 3
BWL
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |