VfB Lübeck vs SC Sperber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
OSN
3 - 1
LUB
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ISC
3 - 1
LUB
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
LUB
2 - 1
FCP
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
HOL
5 - 2
LUB
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
LUB
4 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SC Sperber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SCS
2 - 2
ISC
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
FCP
3 - 1
SCS
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
SCS
1 - 2
HOL
23%
21%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
BAR
2 - 1
SCS
63%
20%
18%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
SCS
1 - 2
COH
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |