Regionalliga North Round 26

VfB Lübeck vs Köln II analysis

VfB Lübeck Köln II
65 ELO 56
5.1% Tilt 12.9%
2267º General ELO ranking 2933º
96º Country ELO ranking 128º
ELO win probability
57.2%
VfB Lübeck
22.1%
Draw
20.6%
Köln II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
VfB Lübeck
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
Köln II
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfB Lübeck
+11%
-24%
Köln II

ELO progression

VfB Lübeck
Köln II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfB Lübeck
VfB Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2005
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
VfB Lübeck
LUB
33%
25%
43%
64 56 8 0
19 Mar. 2005
LUB
VfB Lübeck
3 - 1
Wuppertaler SV
WUP
62%
21%
17%
64 55 9 0
26 Feb. 2005
WOL
Wolfsburg II
5 - 1
VfB Lübeck
LUB
17%
22%
61%
65 50 15 -1
19 Feb. 2005
LUB
VfB Lübeck
2 - 2
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
48%
25%
27%
65 65 0 0
11 Dec. 2004
PRE
Preußen Münster
1 - 2
VfB Lübeck
LUB
31%
24%
45%
65 56 9 0

Matches

Köln II
Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2005
BOR
B. Dortmund II
0 - 2
Köln II
DIE
41%
25%
34%
56 54 2 0
13 Mar. 2005
DIE
Köln II
1 - 1
Bielefeld Amatuere
BIE
62%
21%
17%
56 49 7 0
05 Mar. 2005
PAD
Paderborn
3 - 1
Köln II
DIE
65%
19%
16%
57 66 9 -1
26 Feb. 2005
DIE
Köln II
2 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
51%
25%
24%
56 56 0 +1
18 Feb. 2005
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 0
Köln II
DIE
46%
25%
29%
57 59 2 -1