VfB Lübeck II vs Oldenburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
57.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
16º
8º
37
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOR
1 - 4
LUB
72%
15%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LUB
1 - 3
HEI
16%
17%
67%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUS
2 - 4
LUB
40%
21%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LUB
0 - 1
GWS
55%
20%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 4
LUB
46%
21%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
EIC
2 - 1
OLD
69%
16%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 3
FRI
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
OLD
25%
19%
56%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 1
UNI
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TOD
4 - 2
OLD
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |