Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein. Jor. 19

VfB Lübeck II vs Eckernförder SV analysis

VfB Lübeck II Eckernförder SV
23 ELO 26
12.9% Tilt 15%
9472º General ELO ranking 8637º
456º Country ELO ranking 397º
ELO win probability
52.7%
VfB Lübeck II
21%
Draw
26.3%
Eckernförder SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
VfB Lübeck II
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.3%
Win probability
Eckernförder SV
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfB Lübeck II
-11%
+33%
Eckernförder SV

Points and table prediction

VfB Lübeck II
Their league position
Eckernförder SV
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
15º
11º
48
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Todesfelde
75
75
100%
SV Eichede
67
70
100%
Union Neumünster
62
62
100%
TSB Flensburg
53
53
100%
Heider SV
49
49
100%
Eckernförder SV
48
48
100%
SV Preußen Reinfeld
47
47
100%
Nordmark Satrup
37
37
100%
VfR Neumunster
36
36
100%
Oldenburger SV
10º
33
33
10º
100%
VfB Lübeck II
11º
32
32
11º
0%
Dornbreite Lübeck
12º
32
32
12º
0%
Hohenwestedt
13º
31
31
13º
100%
Inter Turkspor Kiel
14º
29
29
14º
100%
Bordesholm
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
16º
17
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfB Lübeck II
Eckernförder SV
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

VfB Lübeck II
Eckernförder SV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfB Lübeck II
VfB Lübeck II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
LUB
VfB Lübeck II
2 - 1
Dynamo Schwerin
DSC
54%
20%
26%
24 21 3 0
25 Nov. 2023
UNI
Union Neumünster
5 - 1
VfB Lübeck II
LUB
76%
14%
10%
24 37 13 0
19 Nov. 2023
LUB
VfB Lübeck II
3 - 1
Nordmark Satrup
NOR
55%
19%
26%
23 22 1 +1
11 Nov. 2023
FLE
TSB Flensburg
5 - 1
VfB Lübeck II
LUB
83%
11%
6%
23 40 17 0
29 Oct. 2023
LUB
VfB Lübeck II
1 - 1
Hohenwestedt
HOH
69%
16%
15%
22 18 4 +1

Matches

Eckernförder SV
Eckernförder SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
ITK
Inter Turkspor Kiel
2 - 3
Eckernförder SV
ECK
59%
19%
22%
24 23 1 0
12 Nov. 2023
EIC
SV Eichede
3 - 1
Eckernförder SV
ECK
79%
14%
8%
23 42 19 +1
05 Nov. 2023
ECK
Eckernförder SV
1 - 1
SV Preußen Reinfeld
PRR
50%
21%
28%
23 21 2 0
28 Oct. 2023
DOR
Dornbreite Lübeck
2 - 1
Eckernförder SV
ECK
35%
21%
44%
24 18 6 -1
15 Oct. 2023
ECK
Eckernförder SV
4 - 0
Nordmark Satrup
NOR
40%
22%
38%
23 24 1 +1
X