Luarca CF vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
LUA
35%
26%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUA
0 - 1
LEN
28%
27%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LUA
2 - 0
CLA
35%
26%
40%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 2
LUA
34%
26%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUA
0 - 2
AND
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 2
ESM
18%
21%
62%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
UCO
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
1 - 0
UCO
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
VAL
24%
23%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 1
UCO
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |