Luarca CF vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+187%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TUI
3 - 0
LUA
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LUA
2 - 0
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PCF
0 - 0
LUA
26%
25%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LUA
0 - 1
AVI
26%
27%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
LUA
75%
16%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NAI
2 - 1
UPL
24%
27%
49%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COV
2 - 1
NAI
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NAI
1 - 0
NAV
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ROB
0 - 0
NAI
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NAI
2 - 0
COL
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |