Lučko vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LUK
0 - 1
RUD
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ZAG
1 - 2
LUK
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LUK
2 - 1
HNS
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
HDR
1 - 2
LUK
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LUK
0 - 1
SOL
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
ZAG
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ZAG
0 - 1
NOV
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RUD
1 - 1
NOV
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
HNG
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
NKR
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |