Denmark Fourth Division Relegation Round Round 14

LSF vs Næstved II analysis

LSF Næstved II
39 ELO 31
9.3% Tilt 16.7%
6879º General ELO ranking 24802º
86º Country ELO ranking 260º
ELO win probability
63.4%
LSF
17.6%
Draw
19%
Næstved II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
LSF
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
19%
Win probability
Næstved II
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
LSF
+9%
-17%
Næstved II

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aarhus Fremad II
65
37
100%
OKS
59
34
90%
B 1908
13º
43
30
90%
Hedensted
52
28
45.5%
Viby
54
27
32%
Greve IF
53
27
25.5%
Skjold
51
26
68.5%
Varde IF Elite
12º
43
25
37%
10º
48
25
11.5%
Vaerebro BK 1968
15º
41
23
10º
65%
Kjellerup
22º
32
23
11º
37%
Tarup-Paarup
53
21
12º
31%
Tårnby FF
11º
47
19
13º
12%
KFUM Roskilde
17º
40
19
14º
16.5%
Allerød
14º
42
19
15º
10%
Aalborg BK II
52
19
16º
10.5%
Herstedøster
28º
26
18
17º
7.5%
Herlev
20º
34
18
18º
20%
Karlslunde
51
18
19º
10.5%
Djursland
31º
21
16
20º
28%
Næstved II
16º
41
16
21º
12%
Boldklubben 1909
18º
36
15
22º
25%
KFUM
27º
29
15
23º
32.5%
Brabrand II
26º
29
14
24º
30%
Gorslev
24º
30
13
25º
16.5%
Nörresundby FB
21º
34
13
26º
24.5%
B 1913
23º
31
13
27º
17.5%
VRI
25º
30
12
28º
45.5%
Slagelse B&I
19º
36
12
29º
39%
GVI
30º
24
10
30º
75%
ASA Aarhus
29º
24
7
31º
78.5%
Otterup
32º
14
7
32º
84%
Expected probabilities
LSF
Næstved II
0% 100%
0% 0%

ELO progression

LSF
Næstved II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

LSF
LSF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2023
VB1
Vaerebro BK 1968
2 - 3
LSF
LSF
37%
21%
42%
37 35 2 0
02 Jun. 2023
LSF
LSF
0 - 0
KFUM
KFU
77%
14%
9%
37 28 9 0
27 May. 2023
ALL
Allerød
0 - 2
LSF
LSF
46%
21%
33%
36 37 1 +1
19 May. 2023
LSF
LSF
0 - 3
Herlev
HER
68%
17%
15%
38 31 7 -2
13 May. 2023
SKJ
Skjold
1 - 1
LSF
LSF
39%
22%
39%
38 37 1 0

Matches

Næstved II
Næstved II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2023
NAS
Næstved II
1 - 2
Slagelse B&I
SBO
60%
19%
21%
34 29 5 0
02 Jun. 2023
NAS
Næstved II
2 - 4
Vaerebro BK 1968
VB1
54%
20%
26%
35 34 1 -1
27 May. 2023
KFU
KFUM
2 - 4
Næstved II
NAS
29%
22%
49%
34 29 5 +1
19 May. 2023
NAS
Næstved II
2 - 2
Allerød
ALL
43%
22%
35%
34 37 3 0
13 May. 2023
HER
Herlev
5 - 0
Næstved II
NAS
28%
21%
51%
37 28 9 -3