Loxwood vs Crawley Down Gatwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
66.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loxwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
TOW
1 - 2
LOX
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
LOX
3 - 3
MEF
19%
19%
62%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 1
LOX
62%
20%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LOX
1 - 2
CRO
9%
15%
77%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
LOX
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Crawley Down Gatwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 8
CRA
8%
15%
77%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
LIN
63%
19%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CRA
3 - 3
STC
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HAY
4 - 1
CRA
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -3 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
TOW
0 - 1
CRA
42%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |