A PFG Round 9

Litex Lovech vs Cherno More Varna analysis

Litex Lovech Cherno More Varna
76 ELO 74
6.5% Tilt 9.4%
5681º General ELO ranking 804º
49º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.6%
Litex Lovech
24.1%
Draw
22.4%
Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
Litex Lovech
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.4%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Litex Lovech
-22%
-3%
Cherno More Varna

ELO progression

Litex Lovech
Cherno More Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Litex Lovech
Litex Lovech
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2015
LOV
Litex Lovech
2 - 2
FS Jelgava
FKJ
58%
23%
19%
77 72 5 0
02 Jul. 2015
FKJ
FS Jelgava
1 - 1
Litex Lovech
LOV
33%
25%
42%
77 72 5 0
15 Jun. 2015
LOV
Litex Lovech
3 - 2
Omonia Nicosia
OMO
37%
26%
37%
77 81 4 0
31 May. 2015
CSK
CSKA Sofia
3 - 1
Litex Lovech
LOV
33%
27%
40%
78 75 3 -1
23 May. 2015
LOV
Litex Lovech
4 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
44%
27%
30%
77 79 2 +1

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2015
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
59%
25%
16%
75 64 11 0
29 Aug. 2015
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
2 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
41%
27%
32%
75 70 5 0
22 Aug. 2015
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 0
Montana
MON
49%
27%
24%
75 71 4 0
17 Aug. 2015
BER
Beroe
1 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
47%
27%
26%
75 78 3 0
12 Aug. 2015
LUD
Ludogorets
0 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
51%
24%
25%
74 77 3 +1