Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Litex Lovech vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
BAT
0 - 1
LOV
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LOV
0 - 1
OFK
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LOK
0 - 5
LOV
32%
26%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
LSO
1 - 0
LOV
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 4
LOV
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
BAT
0 - 1
LOV
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
BAT
1 - 0
MIN
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 4
BAT
13%
21%
67%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
BAT
2 - 1
VEN
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
DNP
3 - 1
BAT
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |