Lovcen vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
45%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RUD
1 - 0
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LOV
0 - 0
SUT
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
PET
1 - 0
LOV
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
LOV
1 - 1
MOG
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
LOV
2 - 1
RUD
28%
30%
42%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GRB
2 - 0
DEC
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
JED
2 - 1
GRB
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GRB
1 - 0
KOM
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GRB
2 - 1
BUD
51%
28%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
SIV
1 - 0
GRB
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |