Lovcen vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
LOV
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LOV
1 - 2
BOK
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KOM
3 - 1
LOV
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
LOV
1 - 1
DEC
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
FKD
1 - 1
LOV
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
GRB
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
INT
1 - 2
OUL
9%
18%
73%
|
52 | 10 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 0
MLJ
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 3
ZET
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GRB
0 - 0
OUL
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |