Lovcen vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
LOV
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LOV
0 - 0
ZET
20%
27%
54%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
BUD
4 - 0
LOV
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 0
GRB
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MLA
2 - 2
LOV
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
DEC
0 - 1
BOK
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DEC
3 - 0
BER
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
ZET
1 - 0
DEC
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DEC
1 - 3
BUD
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GRB
2 - 0
DEC
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |