Lousada vs Codessos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lousada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PGA
0 - 4
LOU
9%
16%
75%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 1
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 10
LOU
10%
17%
73%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 0
LOU
20%
22%
59%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
8 - 0
ANC
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Codessos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
COD
0 - 2
FRE
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ANC
3 - 2
COD
63%
20%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
COD
2 - 5
SVP
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
COD
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COD
1 - 3
FER
13%
19%
69%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |