Lousada vs Aparecida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lousada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEV
3 - 1
LOU
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
7 - 1
COD
87%
10%
4%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PGA
0 - 4
LOU
9%
16%
75%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 1
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 10
LOU
10%
17%
73%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
APA
2 - 1
FRE
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 0
APA
18%
21%
62%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
APA
0 - 0
SVP
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 3
APA
9%
16%
74%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
APA
1 - 2
FER
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |