Lourinhanense vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
68.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
1DE
1 - 1
LOU
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 0
LOU
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
IRI
3 - 1
LOU
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 2
PEN
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 3
GAF
13%
19%
69%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALV
3 - 0
USA
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PRA
3 - 2
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USA
2 - 3
CON
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 0
USA
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USA
3 - 2
UDL
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |