Lourinhanense vs Cartaxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 2
SAC
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PIN
0 - 3
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOU
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LOU
5 - 2
PER
47%
23%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
LOU
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cartaxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
UNI
29%
24%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PER
3 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 4
REA
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ELE
5 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
SIN
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -2 |