Lourenzá vs Candelaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FOZ
2 - 1
LOU
24%
22%
55%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
8 - 1
XER
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
GUI
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
LOU
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
4 - 1
COS
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Candelaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
GUI
53%
22%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
CAN
55%
22%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 1
COS
37%
23%
41%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAN
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
4 - 0
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |