Lourel SP vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourel SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
IRI
1 - 2
LOU
34%
23%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COU
2 - 0
LOU
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
LOU
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOJ
1 - 0
LOU
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
4%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
POV
0 - 4
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
PER
88%
9%
3%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 1
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
OEI
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |