Lourdes vs River Ega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ERR
1 - 1
LOU
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
CDC
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
LOU
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 0
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
River Ega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 2
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 2
CHA
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 0
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 3
ATL
26%
26%
49%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IDO
4 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |