Lourdes vs Mirandés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 2
LOU
69%
19%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LOU
3 - 1
CDU
32%
24%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
SUB
1 - 0
LOU
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LOU
1 - 2
AOI
26%
26%
49%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
RIV
1 - 1
LOU
63%
20%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
MIR
4 - 0
BUR
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
CDU
0 - 3
MIR
25%
27%
49%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MIR
5 - 1
SUB
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
AOI
1 - 0
MIR
22%
28%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
MIR
3 - 1
RIV
71%
20%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |