Lourdes vs Valtierrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BUR
4 - 2
LOU
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 0
COR
26%
28%
46%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 0
LOU
57%
22%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 1
ERR
47%
25%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CDC
0 - 0
LOU
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valtierrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 1
COR
20%
28%
53%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ERR
1 - 4
CAV
65%
21%
15%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 1
CAN
20%
23%
57%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CDA
1 - 0
CAV
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 2
PEÑ
10%
19%
71%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |