Lourdes vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TUD
1 - 0
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LOU
3 - 1
COR
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
OBE
0 - 1
LOU
43%
26%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LOU
4 - 1
SES
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
IDO
3 - 4
LOU
51%
24%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
AOI
1 - 2
PAM
48%
27%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 2
AOI
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AOI
4 - 1
AZK
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SJU
0 - 0
AOI
61%
23%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AOI
0 - 1
CDA
41%
27%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |