Lourdes vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
RIV
1 - 1
LOU
63%
20%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
LOU
0 - 1
VAL
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 1
LOU
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
LOU
0 - 1
TUD
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
UDM
1 - 1
LOU
64%
21%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
AOI
1 - 0
MIR
22%
28%
50%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
BUR
3 - 1
AOI
40%
28%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
AOI
2 - 0
CDU
49%
26%
25%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SUB
1 - 2
AOI
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
AOI
1 - 1
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |