Lourdes vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 0
LOU
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
CDL
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 0
LOU
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
IZA
4 - 0
LOU
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 3
PEÑ
11%
19%
70%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CDL
2 - 0
ALU
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALU
2 - 2
CDT
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 0
ALU
81%
14%
6%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 3
ATL
17%
24%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
AOI
3 - 1
ALU
52%
24%
24%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |