Louletano vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 3
FAT
23%
25%
53%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
LOU
28%
23%
49%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAF
3 - 1
LOU
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
LOU
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 1
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SER
3 - 1
ORI
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
ORI
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 2
OEI
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
0 - 0
MAF
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |