Louletano vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 1
LOU
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
ANG
53%
23%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
LOU
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
4 - 2
FER
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 0
PRA
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
ALJ
67%
18%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OPE
4 - 0
LUS
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 2
LUS
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
PRA
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
QUA
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |