Louletano vs Esperança de Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 1
LOU
43%
26%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 2
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 0
LOU
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COV
2 - 3
LOU
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 0
ALM
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
EDL
0 - 1
UNI
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
COV
3 - 1
EDL
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
EDL
0 - 0
FCB
17%
21%
61%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
EDL
1 - 6
QUA
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 0
EDL
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |