Louletano U19 vs Gd Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
6º
5º
26
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
FAR
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
LOU
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 0
POR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMO
2 - 0
LOU
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
SCF
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Gd Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 0
FAB
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FAB
2 - 1
SCF
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FAB
1 - 1
FAR
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 1
FAB
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FAB
1 - 0
POR
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |