NIFL Premiership Normal Season Round 25

Loughgall vs Linfield analysis

Loughgall Linfield
63 ELO 71
15.7% Tilt 0.5%
3077º General ELO ranking 1499º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
34.5%
Loughgall
26.1%
Draw
39.5%
Linfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
Loughgall
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.5%
Win probability
Linfield
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Loughgall
-10%
+22%
Linfield

Points and table prediction

Loughgall
Their league position
Linfield
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
78
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Larne
80
80
100%
Linfield
78
78
100%
Cliftonville
70
70
100%
Glentoran
56
56
100%
Crusaders
55
55
100%
Coleraine
41
41
100%
Loughgall
39
39
100%
Carrick Rangers
38
38
100%
Glenavon
34
34
100%
Dungannon Swifts
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Ballymena United
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Newry City
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Loughgall
Linfield
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Loughgall
Linfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Loughgall
Loughgall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
LOU
Loughgall
3 - 0
Rosemount Rec
RRF
87%
9%
4%
63 29 34 0
30 Dec. 2023
COL
Coleraine
1 - 3
Loughgall
LOU
59%
23%
18%
62 70 8 +1
26 Dec. 2023
LOU
Loughgall
2 - 1
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
52%
23%
25%
62 59 3 0
22 Dec. 2023
LAR
Larne
1 - 0
Loughgall
LOU
62%
22%
16%
62 71 9 0
16 Dec. 2023
LOU
Loughgall
1 - 4
Cliftonville
CLI
32%
26%
43%
63 71 8 -1

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
LIN
Linfield
4 - 2
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
74%
16%
10%
71 57 14 0
02 Jan. 2024
CRU
Crusaders
0 - 1
Linfield
LIN
45%
26%
29%
71 71 0 0
30 Dec. 2023
LAR
Larne
1 - 1
Linfield
LIN
45%
26%
29%
71 71 0 0
26 Dec. 2023
LIN
Linfield
2 - 0
Glentoran
GLE
49%
25%
26%
71 71 0 0
22 Dec. 2023
LIN
Linfield
2 - 1
Coleraine
COL
48%
25%
27%
71 71 0 0