Loughgall vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
7º
38
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
CRU
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
4 - 0
LOU
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
LOU
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
DUN
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 2
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
GLE
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |