Loudoun United vs Virginia Dream analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
LOU
2 - 0
RHO
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LOU
2 - 0
LOU
80%
13%
6%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
WCU
2 - 3
LOU
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
LOU
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
BLE
1 - 3
LOU
53%
24%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Virginia Dream
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 3
VRD
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 0
VRD
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ABL
0 - 2
VRD
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ALR
2 - 3
VRD
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VRD
3 - 0
FRE
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |