Lothian Hutchison vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LOT
3 - 0
SEL
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PEE
0 - 8
LOT
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LOT
9 - 0
PEE
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
EDI
2 - 1
LOT
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LOT
1 - 3
PRE
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
EAS
0 - 1
HER
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
AFC
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +3 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
COL
0 - 2
HER
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
PRE
4 - 1
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
DAL
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |