Lothian Hutchison vs Dunbar United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 1
LOT
33%
21%
47%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BRX
3 - 3
LOT
50%
20%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
LOT
4 - 1
CAM
62%
18%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
LOT
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 3
LOT
13%
16%
71%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 1
LOT
33%
21%
47%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 2
TRA
11%
18%
72%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
3 - 2
DUN
49%
22%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
3 - 1
IHS
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 0
CAM
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |