Lota Schwager vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
82.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.6%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
CON
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 1
NTA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 1
LOT
40%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 3
PUE
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
LOT
54%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
ANT
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 2
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 0
ULC
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |