Lota Schwager vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
LOT
2 - 1
ULC
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
LOT
2 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 2
LOT
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
IQU
3 - 1
LOT
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
FVC
3 - 2
LOT
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
UCO
3 - 5
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
UCO
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
COB
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
UCH
1 - 1
UCO
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |