Lota Schwager vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 0
CDP
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
NTA
1 - 0
LOT
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 2
LOT
83%
12%
6%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 2
HUA
12%
18%
70%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
LOT
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
CDP
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
NTA
1 - 0
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
PUE
3 - 2
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 2
CON
59%
21%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |