MLS Semi-finals

Los Angeles FC vs Austin FC analysis

Los Angeles FC Austin FC
84 ELO 75
10.7% Tilt 5.8%
152º General ELO ranking 422º
Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
76.3%
Los Angeles FC
14.2%
Draw
9.5%
Austin FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
Los Angeles FC
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
Austin FC
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Los Angeles FC
+7%
+2%
Austin FC

ELO progression

Los Angeles FC
Austin FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2022
LAN
Los Angeles FC
3 - 2
LA Galaxy
GAL
57%
22%
22%
83 78 5 0
09 Oct. 2022
LAN
Los Angeles FC
0 - 1
Nashville SC
NSC
64%
21%
16%
84 79 5 -1
02 Oct. 2022
POR
Portland Timbers
1 - 2
Los Angeles FC
LAN
37%
25%
38%
84 81 3 0
19 Sep. 2022
LAN
Los Angeles FC
3 - 1
Houston Dynamo
HOD
76%
16%
9%
84 71 13 0
14 Sep. 2022
MIN
Minnesota United
1 - 1
Los Angeles FC
LAN
30%
25%
45%
84 78 6 0

Matches

Austin FC
Austin FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2022
AUS
Austin FC
2 - 1
FC Dallas
DAL
51%
22%
27%
75 78 3 0
16 Oct. 2022
AUS
Austin FC
2 - 2
Real Salt Lake
RSL
56%
21%
23%
75 75 0 0
09 Oct. 2022
AUS
Austin FC
1 - 1
Colorado Rapids
COR
54%
21%
25%
76 77 1 -1
02 Oct. 2022
VAN
Vancouver Whitecaps
2 - 0
Austin FC
AUS
47%
24%
29%
76 74 2 0
18 Sep. 2022
AUS
Austin FC
1 - 1
Nashville SC
NSC
56%
22%
22%
76 79 3 0
X