Los Andes vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
19.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Andes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 1
AND
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AND
0 - 1
AGR
41%
29%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
DAL
1 - 0
AND
52%
28%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AND
2 - 2
GIM
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 1
AND
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 3
RAF
22%
28%
50%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
DEF
66%
23%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 0
GBR
25%
30%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
DEF
69%
21%
10%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
TEM
17%
27%
57%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |